Weekly Edges
Game board
Implied totals come from the current spread and O/U (ESPN when available, otherwise nflverse). Line moves are measured from this week's first update. Net EPA = offense EPA/play minus defense EPA/play allowed; the gap shows which team has been better per play. Plays / G adds both teams' plays per game; the colored figure is the difference from the league average (blue = faster game). Pass o/e is each team's early-down pass rate over expected in neutral situations. Referee records cover the listed seasons.
Prop matchups
Players facing defenses that give up more than the league average at their position. Matchup = what this opponent allows per game ÷ the league average; Adj = the player's average × Matchup. It's a starting point for props, not a projection. Click a name for his game log and prop check.